The most counterintuitive secret about startups is that itâs often easier to succeed with a hard startup than an easy one. A hard startup requires a lot more money, time, coordination, or technological development than most startups. A good hard startup is one that will be valuable if it works (not all hard problems are worth solving!).
I remember when Instagram started to get really popularâit felt like you couldnât go a day without hearing about another photo sharing startup. That year, probably over 1,000 photo sharing startups were funded, while there were fewer than ten nuclear fusion startups in existence.
Easy startups are easy to start but hard to make successful. The most precious commodity in the startup ecosystem right now is talented people, and for the most part talented people want to work on something they find meaningful.
A startup eventually has to get a lot of people to join its quest. Itâs usually reasonably easy to get the first five or ten people to joinâyou can offer large equity grants and areas of responsibility. But eventually, what you have to recruit with are the mission of the company, the likelihood of massive success, and the quality of the people there. [1]
Few recruiting messages are as powerful (when true) as âthe world needs this, it wonât happen any time soon if we donât do it, and we are much less likely to succeed if you donât join.â
There is a derivative of the Peter Principle at play hereâyour startup will rise to the level where it can no longer attract enough talented people. (This sometimes holds true for careers tooâthe limiting factor for many careers eventually becomes how many talented people you know and can get to work with you.)
An easy startup is a headwind; a hard startup is a tailwind. If people care about your success because you seem committed to doing something significant, itâs a background force helping you with hiring, advice, partnerships, fundraising, etc.
Part of the magic of Silicon Valley is that people default to taking you seriously if youâre willing to be seriousâtheyâve learned itâs a very expensive mistake, in aggregate, not to. If you want to start a company working on a better way to build homes, gene editing, artificial general intelligence, a new education system, or carbon sequestration, you may actually be able to get it funded, even if you donât have a degree or much experience.
Let yourself become more ambitiousâfigure out the most interesting version of where what youâre working on could go. Then talk about that big vision and work relentlessly towards it, but always have a reasonable next step. You donât want step one to be incorporating the company and step two to be going to Mars.
Be willing to make a very long-term commitment to what youâre doing. Most people arenât, which is part of the reason they pick âeasyâ startups. In a world of compounding advantages where most people are operating on a 3 year timeframe and youâre operating on a 10 year timeframe, youâll have a very large edge.
Thanks to Luke Miles for reviewing drafts of this.
[1] Another solution to this problem is to think about startups that can become quite successful with less than ten people. As compensation packages from the giant tech companies continue to increase, I suspect this will become a trend.